A 2025-26 Eredivisie match. With these numbers, how did it end? Expected goals (xG): PEC Zwolle 0.69, Heracles Almelo 1.58; Shots: PEC Zwolle 9, Heracles Almelo 14; Shots on target: PEC Zwolle 5, Heracles Almelo 3; Passes: PEC Zwolle 361, Heracles Almelo 425; Duels won: PEC Zwolle 53, Heracles Almelo 50.

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A 2025-26 Eredivisie match. With these numbers, how did it end?

Eredivisie · 2025-26

Stat	PEC Zwolle	Heracles Almelo
Expected goals (xG)	0.69	1.58
Shots	9	14
Shots on target	5	3
Passes	361	425
Duels won	53	50

Home win
Draw
Away win

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Answer

Home win. PEC Zwolle 1–0 Heracles Almelo. The side that created more danger did not win.

Context

Heracles Almelo generated 1.58 xG from 14 shots compared to PEC Zwolle's 0.69 xG from 9 attempts. Despite creating higher threat, Heracles Almelo fell to a 1–0 defeat against a more efficient host.

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