A 2025-26 Premier League match. With these numbers, how did it end? Expected goals (xG): Manchester City 2.64, Nottingham Forest 1.04; Shots: Manchester City 21, Nottingham Forest 9; Shots on target: Manchester City 7, Nottingham Forest 4; Passes: Manchester City 774, Nottingham Forest 329; Duels won: Manchester City 46, Nottingham Forest 42.

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A 2025-26 Premier League match. With these numbers, how did it end?

Premier League · 2025-26

Stat	Manchester City	Nottingham Forest
Expected goals (xG)	2.64	1.04
Shots	21	9
Shots on target	7	4
Passes	774	329
Duels won	46	42

Home win
Draw
Away win

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Answer

Draw. Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest. The side that created more danger did not win.

Context

Manchester City dominated Nottingham Forest in possession and chance creation, producing 2.64 xG and 21 shots against 1.04 xG. Despite completing more than double the passes, their lack of finishing resulted in a 2–2 draw that defied the underlying numbers.

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