A 2025-26 Conference League match. With these numbers, how did it end? Expected goals (xG): Ilves 1.54, AZ Alkmaar 2.71; Shots: Ilves 14, AZ Alkmaar 23; Shots on target: Ilves 7, AZ Alkmaar 8; Passes: Ilves 310, AZ Alkmaar 593; Duels won: Ilves 47, AZ Alkmaar 40.

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A 2025-26 Conference League match. With these numbers, how did it end?

Conference League · 2025-26

Stat	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar
Expected goals (xG)	1.54	2.71
Shots	14	23
Shots on target	7	8
Passes	310	593
Duels won	47	40

Home win
Draw
Away win

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Answer

Home win. Ilves 4–3 AZ Alkmaar. The side that created more danger did not win.

Context

AZ Alkmaar created 2.71 xG, completed nearly 600 passes, and fired 23 shots. However, Ilves maximized their 14 attempts and 1.54 xG to claim a 4–3 win.

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