Kaj de Rooij scored 7 non-penalty goals in the 2025-26 Eredivisie. From the chances they had, would an average player have scored more or fewer?

Fewer: their chances were worth about 2.8 goals. They scored 4.2 above expectation.

De Rooij accumulated only 2.8 expected goals in 2,029 minutes. Despite that modest total, De Rooij scored 7 non-penalty goals, outscoring the model by 4.2.